The incumbent, Representative Ed Case, faces only token opposition in the Democratic primary and is expected to defeat whomever Republicans nominate. Thats according to the results of a new Honolulu Civil Beat/Hawaii News Now poll. If somehow Caldwell could turn that around, especially with rail hanging over him, that would be amazing.. In America, where most states administer elections on Tuesdays, Hawaii is an outlier but its unusual primary elections calendar is no accident. Nate Cohn The map below shows how votes cast in this race compare with votes cast in the 2020 presidential election in the same area. election denier who marched to the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in the race to be Arizonas secretary of state. The overall headline here is he (Green) does really well with everybody and even with Republicans, said political analyst Neal Milner. Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early in Wisconsin, but it looks close. , Dina Titus, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas First Congressional District. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. However, if my rating for this Here are the main races well be watching. By comparison, Ige received only a 49% overall approval rating for his handling of COVID-19. Republicans have flipped four House seats in New York, two districts on Long Island and two in the Hudson Valley. Christine Zhang Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, and Joe Lombardo, the Las Vegas-area sheriff who was endorsed by Donald Trump. Voters in Vermont decided in favor of including abortion protections in their state constitution. Ruth Igielnik Compared with 2020 presidential vote in places that have reported almost all of their Representative Tom Malinowski, a second-term incumbent, conceded his race for re-election to his Republican opponent, Tom Kean Jr. , Senator Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, a 2020 election denier, defeated Lt. Gov. Voters in Kentucky narrowly rejected an amendment to the State Constitution that would have said there is no right to abortion in their state. >> RELATED: Hawaii lieutenant governors race deadlocked, >> RELATED: Voters give Ige and Biden approval boost, Hawaii Poll shows. Under Hawaii law, a nonpartisan candidate must either receive at least ten percent of the vote for that office (32,729 votes for governor or 30,918 votes for lieutenant governor) or receive a vote "equal to or greater than the lowest vote received by the partisan candidate who was nominated" (37,608 votes for governor or 35,798 votes for lieutenant governor) to qualify for the general election ballot. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate. Hes a great guy, they said.. , Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem, a G.O.P. Lazaro Gamio Cayetano reported $655,407 in cash on hand. The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. Hawaii amended its law in 2010, moving Primary Day to August from September in order to comply with a federal law mandating that members of the military receive ballots at least 45 days before federal elections. By comparison, 13% of respondents said they have an unfavorable opinion of Green, compared to 29% for Caldwell and 9% for Cayetano, Hawaiis former first lady. , Eric Sorensen, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Illinoiss 17th Congressional District. Green won the election with 63.2% of the vote with Aiona receiving 36.8% of the vote.[1][2]. Read the full story with our Print & Digital Subscription. But his approval rating has since soared from 56% to 65%. Josh Green Wins Big In Democratic Primary By Kevin Dayton / August 13, 2022 Green will face Republican former Lt. Gov. Hes got a network, hes got fundraising and hes a pro when it comes to campaigning. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. U.S. Senate In the U.S. Senate race, incumbent Brian Schatz won the Democratic primary with 94 percent of the vote. By comparison, Vicky Cayetano a business entrepreneur and former Hawaii first lady would receive 19% of the votes, followed by U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele with 16%. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans must win just 19 competitive seats to retake majority control from the Democrats. 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial Election Poll Results Quiz Elections If the 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial election were held today, which candidate would you vote for? These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. , Katie Porter, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 47th Congressional District. In these midterms, New York is an unexpected battleground. Civil Beat/HNN poll shows Green with commanding lead in Democratic race for governor. , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. Maggie Astor Of course (former Gov.) Hawaii has supported Democrats in every presidential election in which it has participated, except 1972 and 1984 , when incumbent Republican candidates won 49-state landslides. Thats not what Kirk Caldwell does, Milner said. Republicans have won in four of five New York tossup seats, and the Republican candidate is ahead in the fifth. Nov. 9, 2022, More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. Theres still a long way to go before the Aug. 13 primary and even longer to the Nov. 8 general election and anything could happen. Vance, a Republican and the Hillbilly Elegy author, is very likely to win Ohios Senate race, according to our estimates. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-hawaii-governor.html. Governor and Lieutenant Governor. , Matt Cartwright, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Eighth Congressional District. Mr. Schatz, as the states lieutenant governor, was a rising political star in Hawaii when he was appointed to the Senate. Election. Mr. Schatz has held the seat since 2012, when he was appointed after the death of Senator Daniel K. Inyoue, a towering figure in Hawaii who had served in the Senate since 1963. Brian Kemp's strength at the top of the ticket makes the math slightly easier for a Republican upset. In addition to the 2012 N.R.A. Nov. 14, 2022, With Senator Cortez Mastos victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain Senate control, even if Republicans win a run-off election in Georgia. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Aiona vs. Green Who's ahead in the Hawaii governor race? Initially, he focused on combating homelessness. Green, a Kona emergency room doctor, has been the face of the states response to COVID-19 for nearly two years. Registered Democratic voters continue to give Lt. Gov. The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. Winer previously served as Hawaii director for Barack Obamas presidential campaign and has helped U.S. Sens. State of Hawaii. Brian Kemp gained more votes compared to Trump in 2020 all across Georgia, beating Stacey Abrams by a more than seven-point margin. endorsement, pro-Branco ads attacked Ms. Tokuda for opposing a 2015 bill that would have banned pesticide spraying around Hawaii schools. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. Officials have long struggled to get more people to vote in the state. One of Mr. Greens campaign ads this year highlighted the fact that Hawaiis Covid infection rates have been among the lowest in the country, though they have still been devastating, particularly in Native Hawaiian communities. Thats almost a third of all ballots sent out this cycle and more than all mail ballots returned in the entire 2018 primary election. Representative Kai Kahele, Lt. Gov. . #7-500 The polls just closed in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia. See full results and maps from the Hawaii primary elections. Democrats also won the Governors office, State Senate, and appear poised to take the State Assembly, and voters affirmed abortion rights in the state. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. Nov. 8, 2022, Six of the eight most competitive Senate races are in states that did not call a winner in the presidential race until after election night: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. His approval ratings are much wider, but still dominant, among ethnic groups: 77% from Japanese; 71% from Hawaiians; 62% from Mixed/Other; and 58% from whites. Republican state Rep. Bob McDermott won his party's nomination for U.S. Senate,. All rights reserved. Incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Green was the Democratic nominee, and faced former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona, the Republican nominee. Skip to content. Maggie Astor As of July, Hawaii was the most expensive state in the nation to live in. We are very happy with the support we continue to receive, and I am working hard to help Hawaii not only recover from the pandemic, but to build a stronger and healthier community as a result. . , Abigail Spanberger, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Virginias Seventh Congressional District. Voters can still cast a ballot in person in the primary election on Saturday, if that is their preference, but most are expected to vote by mail. The biggest topic of discussion in the campaign has been how to address the states housing crisis, which was exacerbated by wealthy remote workers moving from the mainland during the pandemic and has hit Native Hawaiians especially hard. Our newest ratings and updates, Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as born alive infants. Nov. 9, 2022, While the race for Georgias senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governors race was decided last night. She will be one of the nations first openly lesbian governors. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. You're reading a premium story. Read more Hawaiis comparatively low infection rate drew many wealthy remote workers from the mainland, exacerbating the states existing shortage of affordable housing a crisis that, like the pandemic, has hit Native Hawaiians especially hard. Josh and I have been friends for almost 20 years., Poll participant and progressive Democrat Jennifer Martin, a 50-year-old Makawao tech writer and business consultant, said she prefers Kahele for governor, mostly because Cayetano comes across as too conservative and Josh seems beholden to special interests.. votes. Read more. Polls close in Hawaii, and initial results could be reported soon. Heres where we think votes remain. And probably, he determined that all he has to do is get 35 to 40% of the vote or less in order to win this nomination.. Greens popularity is off the charts, and it has sustained throughout this (COVID-19) crisis, which could have hurt him.. Tuesday, January 3, 2023. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, a Democrat, won a tough re-election race against her Republican rival, Tudor Dixon. Cisco Aguilar, a Democratic lawyer, defeated Jim Marchant, a leading promoter of election conspiracy theories, in the race to be Nevadas secretary of state. David Ige. Hawaii Governor: Lt. Gov. Nov. 9, 2022, Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. Telephone: 808-529-4747. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. BJ Penn an Ultimate Fighting Champion Hall of Famer followed Aiona, with 26% of the Republican voters polled choosing him. For the 133 responses for the Republican primary, the margin of error was 8.7 percentage points. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? He knows that Im supporting Josh. Already a subscriber? Alicia Parlapiano , Senator Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada won a second term, beating Adam Laxalt, a Trump acolyte, and dealing a blow to Republicans. Incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Green was the Democratic nominee, and faced former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona, the Republican nominee. Most polls have closed in Alaska, but Alaska doesnt release results until after its last polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern. He represented his Hawaii island district in the state Senate before being elected lieutenant governor for Iges second term. Mazie Hirono and Brian Schatz on their campaigns. While 79% of Democrats say they approve of Greens overall performance, so do 52% of Republicans and 57% of independent poll participants. John Duarte, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Californias 13th Congressional District. Jill Tokuda campaigned in Kapolei, Hawaii, on Saturday. Print subscriber but without online access? I want to bring people together.. John Fetterman defeated the celebrity TV host Dr. Mehmet Oz, flipping Pennsylvanias Senate seat to the Democrats. , Greg Landsman, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios First Congressional District. Hawaii has elected only one Republican governor in the last 50 years, so the focus is on the Democratic primary though Republicans will also be choosing a nominee, from a crowded 10-candidate field. Lt. Gov. campaign launch", "Ikaika Anderson receives key endorsement, Sylvia Luke has most in race for lieutenant governor", "Hawaii police officers' union endorses former councilman in Lt. Gov. While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. The amendment preserved Saturday as the last day ballots could be cast. The Hawaii Poll was released just after Green and fellow Democratic gubernatorial candidates Vicky Cayetano and former Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell reported their latest fundraising figures. Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. , Marc Molinaro, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 19th Congressional District. Lt. Gov. Nate Cohn David Ige, a Democrat who cannot run for re-election because of term limits. , Tina Kotek, a Democrat, fended off two well-funded challengers in the race for governor of Oregon. Kahele, who is from Hawaii County, saw his strongest support on Kauai. , Kim Schrier, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Washingtons Eighth Congressional District. The polls are now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont, and in parts of Florida and New Hampshire. Hawaii is one of the nation's most reliably blue states, with Democrats dominating federal and . Follow our live analysis and the latest updates. The primary drew a large amount of outside spending for a relatively off-the-radar House race. Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California. Ron DeSantis won re-election in Florida, cementing Republicans power in a state that was once a key battleground. Green, who is an ER doctor on Hawaii Island, got the most support from Hawaii County. In a statement to the Honolulu Star-Advertiser, Greens campaign said, Green is viewed as consistent and credible, winning high job approval and favorability ratings from voters who view him as the leader of the largest public health initiative in state history. Josh Green, the leading candidate so far to become Hawaii's next governor, has a commanding 65% overall approval rating among Hawaii voters and an even more impressive 70% approval . My opponents have spent years in public office, yet these same issues cost of housing, undermanaged tourism, an economic recovery plan remain even more critical today., When it comes to former Mayor Caldwell and his approval numbers, Moore said, It wouldnt surprise me if he decided not to run. Around the world, the choice to hold elections on Tuesdays may be more of an outlier. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. Penns name recognition is enormous among Republican voters. Heres how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates. But his medical background became an asset when the pandemic began and Mr. Ige named him the states coronavirus liaison. Nate Cohn !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r
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